Sunday, October 19, 2014

Kaizen Curmudgeon—300


“I hope you realize, Curmudge, that we breezed past our 300th posting as if it were nothing special.”

“I was aware of it, Julie, but I wanted first to wrap up our series on Curmudgeonocracy.”

“So what’s next?  More on government or perhaps health care?”

“However the spirit moves me, chère collègue.  But at the moment, this spirit is discouraged.”

“How so, Old Guy?”

“Consider the topics we have dealt with at length—government and health care—and how they have changed since my childhood in the 1930’s and 40’s.  The world is still full of hate, and now there are small wars inspired by religious fanatics instead of one big one inspired by totalitarian fanatics.  However, our leadership is clearly poorer.  Let me give you an example from just this week.  My friend’s son is a battle-hardened Marine NCO, yet our government won’t allow him to re-enlist to continue his Marine career.  Just because someone said ‘no boots on the ground.’  Never?  Maybe our leadership can’t see any further into the future than the six o’clock news broadcast.”

“What about health care?  Advances certainly have been dramatic since you were a kid.”

“You are right there, Julie, but one can easily find bad as well as good examples.  Last night I attended a party given by a woman my age who has been treating very serious cancer for the past three years.  She looked well and has been living a full life.  On the other hand, earlier in the week I visited a much younger friend in hospice.  Her oncologist told her there was no hope.  She is dying not from her cancer but from her chemotherapy!”  (Written before her death on 10/04/14.)

“I share your distress, Old Guy, and so does Doc Mack.  But nevertheless, on our Kaizen Curmudgeon anniversaries in the past we have provided a look back to fairly recent postings for our readers.  I trust that we will celebrate ‘300’ in a similar fashion.”

“That shouldn’t be difficult.  In our Happy Seventh Birthday posting on 5/22/14 we listed all of the postings in 2014 up to that date.  Since then we have published 13 postings, all on Curmudgeonocracy.  Readers who might want to explore some of our historical stuff can go to the Blog Archives in the right margin of each posting.  They might find these of interest:

Kaizen Curmudgeon Blog Title—Date Posted

Kaizen Curmudgeon for Seniors, posted 5/27/13.
Health Effects of Low Doses of Radiation (Title: Unconventional Wisdom), six postings starting on 2/28/13.

Global Warming (Title: Climate Science), five postings starting on 7/23/13.
Mourning (Various titles), three postings starting on 9/03/13; 9/11/13, and 9/20/13.
Alternative Medicine, eight postings starting on 9/27/13.”

“A final question, Professor.  Do you believe that we will ever reach 400 postings?”

“The probability is low, Julie.  I may find other activities to exercise my mind.  But unlike several of my neighbors here in the ‘old folks home,’ it will never be jigsaw puzzles.”

Kaizen Curmudgeon

Link to posting from blog archives: The Old Men’s Table—4/18/11

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 13—Conclusion


An Impossible Dream

“That’s it, Curmudge.  That’s what Curmudgeonocracy is—it’s an impossible dream.  You seem to have been on a quest, like Don Quixote in ‘Man of La Mancha.’ “

“Impossible in the near term Julie, but hopefully not in the future.  However, it will be this way as long as those who believe in American exceptionalism are outnumbered by those who want America to become as morally and fiscally bankrupt as much of Europe.  Wouldn’t it be great to have a federal government that is smaller, effective, and respected?”

“C’mon, Old Guy, you are seeking Camelot.”

“You may be right, Julie.  I try to reach the unreachable star, but it may prove to be as elusive as Camelot.  Those writers of a couple hundred years ago who took a dim view of human nature were basically right.  There will always be some selfish blokes—in and out of government—who try to rip off their neighbor.”

“ ‘Camelot’ and ‘Man of La Mancha’ may have played on Broadway, but they are unlikely to ever exist in Washington.  Old Man, you and I just spent the past several months chasing an apparition.”

“We shouldn’t allow our desire for perfection to deter us from advocating continuous improvement, chère collègue.  Let’s list some do’s and don’ts for people in government.  Adoption of even a few of our suggestions might make Washington ‘a more congenial spot,’ but regrettably it’ll never be Camelot.

Curmudgeonocracy for Those in the Administration

Take the oath of office seriously, especially the part about ‘preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.’
Do not lie to Americans.  If necessary, lie to our enemies.
Be a friend to our friends and a threat to our enemies.  Do not get the preceding sentence reversed.
Seek advice from the best minds in the nation regarding the issues of the day.
Study and understand the significance of world history.
Demonstrate leadership that is commensurate with your elected or appointed position.  (Doc Mack says, ‘Be able to pass Army ROTC Advanced Camp.’)
Understand and appreciate ‘American exceptionalism.’
Do not blindly follow diktats of ‘base’ or major supporters.
Don’t make empty threats.
Possess the judgment to discern between real, imminent threats (Iraq, Afghanistan, Russia, Iran, Syria, North Korea) and unproven, long-term threats (global warming); and possess the resolve to reverse America’s current image of no longer being trusted by our friends and feared by our enemies. (1) 

Curmudgeonocracy for Members of Congress

Those listed above for Administration.
Do not blindly follow diktats of party leadership.  Think for yourself.
Read proposed legislation before voting on it.  If it’s too long to be read, vote against it.
Establish term limits for members of Congress.
Put a ‘sunset clause’ in every regulation.
Change Senate rules to require the Majority Leader to allow a vote on legislation that has bipartisan support.
Revisit and revise laws that have been found to depress the economy and that  require the federal government to be omnipresent, omniscient, and omnipotent;  examples: Dodd-Frank and the Affordable Care Act.
Provide a safety net for those who are unable to work.  Include relocation assistance to aid citizens to move to where jobs are available.
Enact policies that aim for 4% growth: lower, flatter and simpler taxes; sensible regulations based on cost/benefit analysis; stable currency; entitlement reform; and a true health care revolution based on technical progress, entrepreneurial energy, and market pricing. (2)

Curmudgeonocracy for Voters

Do not be a single-issue voter.
Do not vote for or against a candidate on the basis of his/her race or gender.
Study candidates and issues and vote on the basis of your own political philosophy.”

“Your lists could go on forever, Quixote, and we’ve been doing Curmudgeonocracy postings since June.  Is there one main lesson that all of this has taught you?”

“There is, my dear Rocinante.  The early progressives had a noble plan; intelligent people in the federal government would help the citizens of the nation have a better life.  However, history has shown (and our postings have documented) that their efforts did not succeed because it is not possible to micromanage a complex system like a large, diverse country.  Nevertheless, once a zealot has lost sight of his goal, he plows ahead with increased enthusiasm.  That has happened with the progressives.  The result is our present intrusive, overreaching, ineffective, and unaffordable administrative state.”

“Get with it, Sir Don; I’m Dulcinea (or maybe Sancho Panza).  Rocinante was your horse.  I too have perceived something that may simply suggest that I’m the opposite kind of zealot. The population of today’s progressives seems to follow a bimodal (dumbbell-shaped) economic distribution.  At the low end are those who outsource their thinking.  At the high end are those whose only goal is accumulation of power and whose only thoughts are impractical delusions.  The ends of the dumbbell would probably never connect socially with one another.”

“Julie, if we were an organization, the feds might put us on a list.  Let’s call a halt—at least temporarily—to our efforts to define Curmudgeonocracy.  This may not be Camelot, but Appleton is a pretty congenial spot for ‘happily-ever-aftering.’ “

Kaizen Curmudgeon

(1)  Barrasso, John  Six Threats Bigger Than Climate Change  The Wall Street Journal, 8/29/14, p. A11.
(2)  Karlgaard, Rich  Growth is not an option.   Forbes p. 32, June 10, 2013.

Link to posting from blog archives: Way to go! 2—The end is near—2/24/11
     

Monday, September 29, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 12—Discussion


“It appears, Curmudge, that conservatives and progressives agree on something.  They both want Americans to live well, and in addition, to have a safety net for those who are unable to support themselves.”

“Sounds good so far, Julie, but then they diverge.  Conservatives want ‘living well’ to be based on economic growth such that everyone who is able to work can find a job.  And ‘living well’ means having the freedom to live as he/she wishes and as prosperously as he/she can afford.”

“Based on our readings, progressives see it differently.  They feel that an all-powerful central government can make better decisions than individuals.  This reduces inequalities, but as Churchill said, provides for ‘equal sharing of miseries.’  Nevertheless, in the U.S. in recent years the administrative state has forged ahead with ‘over-regulation, cronyism, institutional sclerosis, and mounting public debt’ (Levin in preceding posting).  Despite this sorry record, the progressives portray themselves as helping the middle class.”

“As I see it, chère etudiante, the more people they can get feeding at the public trough, the more people will be depending on and supporting the progressives.  Here are some data: ‘In 1960, According to the Office of Management and Budget, social welfare programs accounted for less than a third of all federal spending.  Today (2013) entitlement programs account for nearly two-thirds of federal spending.’  ‘Welfare spending is nearly twice as much as defense, justice and everything else Washington does—combined.’  ‘The Department of Health and Human Services reports that more than 12.4 million working-age Americans obtained income disability support from government programs in 2011.  That’s more than the total number of employees in the manufacturing sector of the economy.’ (1)  Yet after spending several years in a corporate Environment, Safety & Health Department, I know personally that the American workplace is becoming increasingly safety-conscious.”

“Another way that the progressives hope to gain support is to raise the minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10.  But the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the change would eliminate 500,000 jobs.  Gosh, Curmudge, it seems that progressives care more about catchy themes that attract votes than they care about people.  More facts from research: 25% of hourly employees in poverty already earn $12 per hour or more.  Only 18% of the benefits from the proposed increase would go to minimum-wage earners living in poor families. (2)  And for young people hoping to climb the ladder of success, a higher minimum wage makes the first rung harder to reach.”

“To neutralize the voter appeal of a higher minimum wage, Wilcox in Room to Grow and Saltsman in The Wall Street Journal (2) have proposed modifying the earned income tax credit (EITC).  The EITC is a refundable tax credit for low-income households.  The modified plan would increase the credit received by childless adults.  Other approaches to fighting poverty are the block grants described by Winship in RtG, termed federal opportunity grants by Paul Ryan. (3)”         

“I think I know where you are heading, Old Guy.  Although middle class Americans are aware of the miseries of socialism, they—like many Europeans—have been seduced by big government’s handouts.  They will be reluctant to break the ‘big government’ habit ‘cold turkey.’  That’s why several of the YG Network’s proposals in Room to Grow are less rigorous than desired by other conservatives.  YG Network people want to gently wean middle class people away from big government.  To be even-handed, let’s consider what dyed-in-the-wool conservatives favor.”

“As you wish, Julie.  The title of Daniel J. Mitchell’s paper is the same as his conclusion, Tax Credits Won’t Lift Economic Growth. (4)   He said there is no evidence of a positive economic outcome.  ‘And since tax credits have little or no effect on incentives to work, save and invest, conservatives won’t be able to make an argument about the less fortunate benefitting from faster growth.’  ‘The more effective policy is to boost economic growth so that families have more income in the first place.’  Mitchell’s conclusion is to ‘focus on reforms that boost savings and investment, such as lowering the corporate tax rate, reducing the double taxation of dividends and capital gains, and allowing immediate expensing of business investment.’ “

“Somehow, Professor, I doubt that Mitchell’s last sentence will strike a chord with a mother on welfare.”

“Let’s end this posting with a few suggestions from George P. Shultz on How to Get America Moving Again (5): Cleanse the personal income tax of deductions.  Lower the corporate tax rate to be competitive with the rest of the world.  Overhaul the complexity of the regulatory octopus.  Have a robust military capability.  Get control of spending, especially entitlement spending.  Index the normal retirement age to longevity.  Shultz had several suggestions on health care; we’ll revisit them when we next write about that subject.  But here they are briefly: Have high-deductible catastrophic insurance available across state lines.  Encourage health-savings accounts to be used in paying for routine medical services.  Have price transparency for medical services.”

“I read, Curmudge, where someone said in a subsequent letter to the editor, ‘Shultz’s ideas are great, but we need the right leader to make them happen.’ “

“Agreed!  A dynamic communicator.  As Margaret Thatcher said, ‘First you win the argument; then you win the vote.’ ”

Kaizen Curmudgeon
    
(1)  Eberstadt, Nicholas  Yes, Mr. President, We Are a Nation of
Takers The Wall Street Journal, 1/25/13.
(2)  Saltsman, Michael            A Better Poverty Fighter Than Raising the Minimum Wage The Wall Street Journal, 8/12/14, p. A13.
(3)  Ryan, Paul  A Better Way Up From Poverty The Wall Street Journal, 8/16/14, p. A11.
(4)  Mitchell, Daniel J. Tax Credits Won’t Lift Economic Growth The Wall Street Journal, 8/21/14, p. A13.
(5)  Shultz, George P. How to Get America Moving Again The Wall Street Journal, 8/09/14, p. A11.   

Link to posting from blog archives: Way to go!—The value of an advance directive.2/17/11 http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2011/02/way-to-go.html

Friday, September 19, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 11—“Room to Grow”


“Promises, promises, promises.  So, Curmudge, we’re finally going to say something about Room to Grow.  It’s about time.”

“Actually, Julie, we don’t have to say very much.  The complete e-book is available, free of charge, to anyone with a computer.  Nevertheless, I’ll provide a brief overview.  The authors—one for each chapter—are members of the YG Network (YG stands for ‘Young Guns’).  They consider themselves to be moderate conservatives, and they have been considering ways by which our government might be modified to better meet the needs of middle-class Americans.  The chapters of the book contain their individual recommendations.”

“I understand that you have found several articles about Room to Grow and the YG Network.  Reading these as well as chapter summaries will save the busy person from having to read the whole book.  Perhaps, Old Grey Fox, you should write your own book on ‘How to Succeed in Writing Without Really Reading.’  So here are the equivalents of SparkNotes or Cliffsnotes on Room to Grow: an article by Mona Charen in the 6/05/14 Chicago Sun-Times; and a longer article on the YG Network by Sam Tanenhaus in the 7/02/14 NY Times Magazine.”

“Although health care is addressed in Room to Grow (RtG), we discussed that topic in several postings two years ago.  In the near future we’ll revisit it and include RtG’s insights.  So here are some other subjects—and their authors—covered in RtG:

The Anxieties of Middle America—Peter Wehner: ‘The chief fear of middle-class
Americans is that just as it is getting harder for poor people to climb into the middle class, a stagnant economy is making it all too easy for those who have achieved middle class status to fall out of it.’  ‘Conservatives must offer a concrete conservative agenda that tackles the barriers to upward mobility, and that renews faith in free enterprise and our constitutional system.’

Governing Vision—Yuval Levin: ‘America’s families face stagnating wages, excessive tax burdens, rising health and higher education costs, barriers to mobility and work, disincentives to marriage and childbearing, and an economy increasingly held back by over-regulation, cronyism, institutional sclerosis, and mounting public debt. And each of these problems has been greatly exacerbated by a federal government that is overreaching, hyperactive, unwieldy, and immensely expensive.’  ‘The conservative reform agenda aims to replace a failing liberal welfare state with a lean and responsive 21st century government worthy of a free, diverse, and innovative society.’

Tax Reform—Robert Stein: ‘Conservatives should offer tax cuts to reduce the cost of raising children.’  ‘By supporting tax relief for parents when they need it most, conservatives could do more than correct a distortion in the tax code.’
K-12 Education Reform—Frederick Hess: ‘The Right should take the lead in liberating teachers from regulations that make it extremely difficult to do their jobs well -- a step that will help demonstrate that while conservatives often oppose teachers unions, they are not opposed to the interests of teachers.’

Higher Education Reform—Andrew Kelly: ‘We must support occupational opportunities, like high-quality apprenticeship programs that provide the
non-college-bound with real-world skills.’

 Safety-Net Reforms—Scott Winship: ‘Though federal and state spending on anti-poverty programs is in the neighborhood of a trillion dollars a year, millions of Americans remain stuck at the bottom of the economic ladder.’  ‘Conservatives have advanced a number of poverty-fighting ideas in recent years, including a unified anti-poverty block grant to the states or a universal credit that would consolidate various anti-poverty programs. Conservatives would do well to couple welfare reforms with a robust economic-growth agenda.’

Employment Policies—Michael Strain: ‘Roll back licensing requirements; offer relocation assistance in place of continued unemployment benefits; temporarily lower minimum wages for the long- term unemployed with a temporary subsidy; offer tax credits for those hiring long-term unemployed; promote worksharing programs to prevent layoffs; and expand the earned-income tax credit to make work more attractive to childless workers.’

Energy Reforms—Adam J. White: ‘Congress must undertake serious oversight of regulatory agencies, to deter officials from misusing their power and improperly administering the laws.’  ‘Americans must finally be given a voice charting the
nation’s energy future, instead of having radical new energy policies imposed upon them by regulators and ideologues.’

Reforms to Help Parents Balance Work and Family—Carrie Lukas: ‘When greater flexibility and more options are what most women crave, one-size-fits-all government solutions can take society in the wrong direction.’  ‘Policymakers should focus on creating an environment so that women can pursue their vision for happiness and raise their children as they see fit.’

Combat Cronyism—James Pethokoukis: ‘The federal government must cease to offer protections to politically influential businesses that shield them from the upstart rivals that, if given half a chance, could make America’s economy more innovative and productive.’  ‘Innovators should be given the room they need to experiment with new business models without fear of running afoul of incumbent-protecting regulations.’

Pro-Family Policies to Strengthen Marriage—W. Bradford Wilcox: ‘Ending the marriage penalty associated with means-tested public benefits would be a good first step toward reversing the decline of marriage. Reforming the earned-income tax credit by tying it to individuals rather than households would ensure that when one low-wage worker marries another, neither would experience a loss of income. Expanding the child tax credit to $4,000 would give a boost to married couples further up the income scale.’

Recovering the Wisdom of the Constitution—Ramesh Ponnuru: ‘The federal government has taken on more and more responsibilities, inserting itself into every nook and cranny of American life, yet it seems incapable of performing even the most basic tasks competently. Corporations face multiple regulators. Presidents revise laws without bothering to consult Congress. Federal agencies wield massive authority while facing little in the way of accountability. The limited but effective government envisioned by the Founders bears almost no resemblance to the chaos that now reigns.’  ‘Restoring something like constitutional government is a task that will take generations, and it will have to be undertaken by citizens and legislators as well as by courts.’ “

“Wow, Curmudge! elp Herlp Parents Balance Work and Family That’s a bunch of stuff to think about.  In our next posting we’ll bring in some additional thoughts about Room to Grow and then try to summarize curmudgeonocracy.  After that, we may be due for a vacation.”

Kaizen Curmudgeon

Link to posting from blog archives: The Middle Years2/09/11

Friday, September 12, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 10—“The Fourth Revolution”


Scandinavia as Discussed by Micklethwait and Wooldridge

“In The Fourth Revolution, M&W view Sweden in a more positive light than we (actually, the Swedish think tank, Captus) did in our 6/27/14 posting on socialism.  ‘Sweden just put its pension system on a sound foundation, replacing a defined-benefit system with a defined-contribution one and making automatic adjustments for longer life expectancy.  It has reinvented its state as well as reduced its size.’ “

“You’ll like this, Curmudge.  They have introduced Lean, the Toyota production system, in St. Gören’s Hospital in Stockholm.  That’s the same Lean that we wrote about for five years.  ‘The focus at St. Gören’s is on reducing waiting times and increasing throughput.’  That seems consistent with a recent article (1) that states, ‘Months-long waiting times for treatment routinely available in the U.S. have been widely documented.’  Nevertheless, according to M&W, ‘Sweden has done most of the things that politicians know they ought to do but seldom have the courage to attempt.’  They also point out that (all) ‘the Nordic countries provide strong evidence that it is possible to contain government while improving its performance.’  Let’s hope that that is not limited to small, relatively monolithic societies.”

America’s Problems As Seen by M&W

“Julie, a few days ago I mentioned to an acquaintance that I had written about the achievements of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, and he walked away in apparent disgust.  That suggests that there are some highly educated people who must be oblivious to the mess that our government has become.”

“Your acquaintance is probably not a fan of our blog, and he certainly wouldn’t like Micklethwait & Wooldridge’s book.  Like them or not, here are some of the problems noted by M&W:

The national debt: ‘The declared national debt is around $13 trillion, but the federal government’s off-balance-sheet commitments in 2012 came to $70 trillion.’

The tax code: ‘Four million words, containing subsidies, exemptions, and complications that favor the rich, such as the deduction for interest on a home mortgage.’  (Think of a person who can afford a multi-million dollar home deducting his mortgage interest.)  ‘Tax loopholes and exemptions are collectively worth $1.3 trillion.’

Entitlements: ‘Equality of opportunity has become equality of results.  Fraternity has become about entitlements that we are all due, not responsibilities that we all have.’  ‘The more the state fails to meet its impossible targets, the more it resorts to micromanagement to make up for its failures.’

Crony capitalism: Well-connected industries receive mammoth subsidies.  ‘The U.S. Dept. of Agriculture (USDA), with 100,000 employees, provides $10-$30 billion in cash subsidies to farmers each year.  The largest 10% of farmers received 68% of all commodity subsidies in 2010.’ “

“And the list can go on and on, Julie.  Our government has become bloated and inefficient, yet voters seem to want more services with lower taxes.  The authors are concerned that the state will keep expanding and reducing liberty and that it will surrender more power to special interests.  Plato’s two criticisms of democracy remain valid: Voters will put short-term satisfaction above long-term prudence and that politicians will try to bribe their way to power—as they have done by promising entitlements that future generations will have to pay for.  And as stated by M&W, ‘Reform is as much about changing mentality as about redesigning structures.’ “

Micklethwait & Wooldridge’s Thoughts on Improvement

“According to the book, Old Guy, M&W’s starting point is classical liberalism.  ‘We want the state to be smaller and individuals to be freer.’  They list ‘three areas for unburdening the state: (a) selling things that the state has no business owning, (b) cutting the subsidies that go to the rich and well connected, and (c) reforming entitlements to make sure that they are targeted to people who need them and sustainable in the long term.’  The Department of the Interior oversees 260 million acres; the agricultural land (but not national parks) could be sold.  The government owns more than 900,000 buildings, many of which are underused or unneeded.  The need to reform entitlements is widely recognized, but actually doing something faces a lot of inertia.  This situation was described by the former prime minister of Luxembourg: ‘We all know what to do, but we don’t know how to get re-elected once we have done it.’  So, Professor, how do M&W wrap up their story?”

“They remind us what John Adams said about democracy 200 years ago: ‘It is in vain to say that democracy is less vain, less proud, less selfish, less ambitious, or less avaricious than aristocracy or monarchy.’  ‘These passions are the same in all men…and when unchecked, produce the same effects of fraud, violence, and cruelty.’  With that as history, M&W observe that ‘the welfare state has sprawled and democracy has become self-indulgent, tawdry, and, too often, corrupt.’  It will be difficult to convince people that the state will become stronger by being leaner and offering fewer benefits, but the survival of our democracy may depend upon it.  ‘Any state that harnesses the most powerful innovative forces in society will pull ahead of its peers.’  That has been shown by history.  ‘The West has been the world’s most creative region because it has repeatedly reinvented the state.’ “

“I hope that state is us, Curmudge.  Presumably we’ll defer our discussion of the e-book, Room to Grow, to our next posting."

Kaizen Curmudgeon      

(1)  Atlas, Scott W.  The Wall Street Journal 8/14/14, p. A13.

Link to posting from blog archives: Stan’s Story Redux12/29/10
http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2010/12/stans-story-redux.html

Saturday, September 6, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 9—Books that Summarize and Inspire


“I understand, Curmudge, that our remaining discussions on curmudgeonocracy will be based on books.  Heretofore they have been based on bits and pieces of info from Google, Forbes, The Wall Street Journal, and a professional career in chemistry, quality management, and regulatory compliance.  Although you did take a course in government 60 years ago.”

“It was required, Julie.  Classes were at night after work in Cleveland.  I read the text over weekends while sitting on the bank of Lake Erie wishing it were clean (the lake, not the text).  Now I read sitting at my table in—as you call it—the old folks home.  The books of current interest are Why Government Fails So Often by Peter H. Schuck, The Fourth Revolution by John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, and Room to Grow by the YG Network.  Actually, our discussion of Schuck’s book will be based on a review (1); it’s also reviewed on Amazon.  I didn’t buy the book, but I should have.  My head had already been filled with examples of government failures.”

Why Government Fails So Often

“We’ve already noted several examples of government failures in our Curmudgeonocracy 6, 7,and 8 postings, Curmudge.  If Schuck also describes them, why beat a dead horse?”

“Because it’s not dead, chère etudiante.  It’s alive and well and living in Washington.  Also, it’s reassuring to learn that Schuck agrees with our observations.  In his review, Levin says (quoting Schuck) that to be successful, public policy must get these things right: incentives, instruments, information, adaptability, credibility, and management.  And our government is bad at all of them.  (I’m tempted to buy the book to get more details.)  Shuck also said that, ‘it is essentially impossible for centralized managers to consolidate information to the degree necessary to manage complex social systems.’  And when they fail, bureaucracies demand more power.”

“Hey, Old Man, we said that in our recent discussion of Hayek and Friedman; and also in our posting on Complex Systems two years ago.”

“Also echoing Hayek, Schuck said, ‘When one compares government and market provision of essentially the same services, the inescapable conclusion is that the (free) market almost always performs more cost-effectively.’  But private companies do not totally escape blame.  They have been known to use political contributions to influence policies that might give them an advantage over competitors.”

“Here, Curmudgde, is a final quotation from Schuck’s book: ‘The relationship between government’s growing ambition and its endemic failures is rooted in an inescapable structural condition: officials’ meager tools and limited understanding of the opaque, complex social world that they aim to manipulate.’ “

“Julie, I guess that means that there are a lot of things that big government cannot do well and probably shouldn’t attempt.”

The Fourth Revolution:
The Global Race to Reinvent the Stateayek, Schuck said, ‘h
 
“Wow, Curmudge!  The book by Micklethwait and Wooldridge (M&W) is 270 pages of fine-print text and 18 pages of references.  You said it took two weeks to read, and you wore out a highlighter.  At least it kept you off the streets and out of the bars, of which Appleton has an abundance.”

“Correct as usual, Julie.  The early part of the book is sort of a textbook of political history; we touched on some of that in our earlier Curmudgeonocracy postings.  So from M&W we’ll just list dates, dominant concepts, and influential authors.   Overall, the book’s observations regarding the ills of big government parallel those noted by Schuck.  You and I should be pleased that there are prestigious authors out there who agree with us that our government is a mess (their word).”

“So here, Professor, is M&W’s political history in a nutshell:

The politics of the 16th and 17th centuries emphasized sovereign power.  In his book Leviathan Thomas Hobbs obbsHhintroduced the modern nation-state and the idea of a social contract between ruler and ruled.  War was endemic, and people chose to associate with one another out of fear for their safety.  The state’s first duty was to provide law and order.
 
But as the nation-states evolved in Europe, power became concentrated in the landed gentry who acquired wealth via ‘old corruption.’  In the 19th century John Stuart Mill, William Gladstone and others in Britain led ‘a silent revolution that replaced the ancient regime of privilege, patronage, and purchase with a capitalist state.’  At the end of the century Gladstone said, ‘If the government takes into its hands that which the man ought to do for himself, it will inflict upon him greater mischiefs than all the benefits he will have received.’       

Beatrice Webb thought otherwise.  She believed in an ever-expanding role for government including ‘collective ownership wherever practicable and collective regulation everywhere else’ including managing people’s breeding habits.  The triumph of statist thinking in Britain was repeated around the world, including Russia and Germany as communism and fascism.  By the time Beatrice Webb died in 1943, Britain had plans for destroying the ‘five great evils’ of want, disease, ignorance, squalor, and idleness.  The 1960’s saw the apogee of the state’s being the ‘universal provider’ in Britain.  It was becoming evident that ‘the man receiving the welfare check or the state pension was not grateful; it was a right—and he was entitled to it.’ “

“Good recitation, Julie.  And of course we’ve already discussed the more recent history of socialism in Great Britain in our 7/06/14 posting.  Let’s now look at M&W’s comments about the U.S.—I actually remember most of the events—and their further observations about Britain:

‘By the 1970’s the American government seemed to be failing at everything it touched—wars (Vietnam), the economy (stagflation), crime (the drug epidemic), social cohesion (the culture wars).’  Big government had overextended itself, consistent with Lyndon Johnson’s statement, ‘We’re in favor of a lot of things and we’re against mighty few.’  Urban planners tore down working-class neighborhoods and ‘shoved the poor into “the projects,” vertical ghettos.’  In Chicago the Guardian Angels (including Doc Mack, one of our editors) rode the ‘El’ to protect riders from crime.  But the Guardian Angels regarded “the projects” too dangerous to enter.  The time had come for Margaret Thatcher in Britain and Ronald Reagan in the U.S.  Although Reagan was able to revive the economy with tax cuts, he could not convince Congress to enact cuts in spending.  Nevertheless, in 1992 Bill Clinton proclaimed that ‘the age of big government was over.’  But it wasn’t.”

“Next, Old Man, let’s catch a flight to Asia on an M&W 777 and hope it doesn’t disappear over the Pacific.  In their discussion of Asia, M&W examined two countries; Singapore as a model and China as a potential competitor.  Both countries believe strongly in efficient government.  Those who work in government in both countries receive extensive training, including back-and-forth stints in government and industry.  A Chinese official was amazed that U.S. foreign policy is managed by (domestic) politicians.

‘Singaporeans pay a fifth of their salaries into the Central Provident Fund, with their employers contributing another 15.5%.  That provides them with the wherewithal to pay for their housing, pensions, and health care.’  In this way the state is kept small, and people are responsible for their own welfare.

‘The Chinese state is a paragon of efficiency—especially compared with the fevered gridlock of Washington or the panicky incompetence of Brussels.’  On the negative side, the Chinese state (in actuality, the Chinese Communist Party) is involved in everything and is permeated with elitism and corruption.  However, after describing China’s problems in detail, M&W conclude that ‘the Asian alternative is undoubtedly the most substantial challenge that the Western model has ever faced.’ “

“I propose, Julie, that we catch a flight back to the Western Hemisphere and take a few days off to cure our jetlag.  In our next posting I hope to wrap up The Fourth Revolution and tackle Room to Grow.”

Kaizen Curmudgeon       
     

(1)  Levin, Yuval  Review of Why Government Fails So Often by Peter H. Schuck, in The Wall Street Journal 6/10/14, p. A13.

Link to posting from blog archives: Superbugs—11/04/10 http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2010/11/superbugs.html

Friday, August 29, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 8—Inequality and Redistribution


“I don’t read much progressive literature, Curmudge, but I suspect that progressives believe that inequality is the problem and redistribution is the solution.”

“It makes a good political cant, Julie.  The progressives want the middle class to feel as if they deserve a bigger share of the good life and the share should come from somebody else.  It’s called resentment or coveting, as in the Ten Commandments where one is admonished about coveting his neighbor’s wife or his neighbor’s anything else.  Of course, if the progressive is also a post-modernist, he’s not bothered by the Ten Commandments.”

“Fortunately my couch-potato husband is too lazy to look at the gal next door or to read what a post-modernist can ignore.  So how do the progressives convince middle-class Americans that they have been ripped off?”

“They use misleading data, Julie.  They ask, ‘are you worse off now than in (some earlier date)?’ and then answer their own question, ‘of course you are.’  But often they aren’t.”

“So what’s the straight scoop, Professor?”

“The progressives focus on pretax income inequality and ignore transfer payments such as unemployment insurance, food stamps, Medicaid, and other safety-net programs.  According to Hassett and Mathur in The Wall Street Journal (1), ‘Consumption is a more relevant metric of overall welfare than pre-tax cash income.’  Data in a 2011 Congressional Budget Office report ‘reveal that average disposable household income increased across all groups since 1979.  The average household income grew by 40% for the middle quintile and by 49% for the bottom quintile.’ (2)  And regarding ‘the good life,’ the Department of Energy reported these increases between 2001 and 2009 for low-income Americans—those earning less than $20,000 in 2009 dollars: ownership of a computer, from 19.8% to 47.7%; air-conditioning, 65.8% to 83.5%; a dishwasher, 17.6% to 30.8%; and a washing machine, 57.2% to 62.4%. (1)”

“Gosh, Curmudge, neither of us had a computer in 2001.  But we are certainly better off than many people in Europe.  ‘The average U.S. family has 38% more disposable income than a family in Italy, 25%more than a family in France, and 20% more than a household in Germany, when adjusted for purchasing power.’ (2)  So what do the progressives say about that?”

“They persist in wanting to raise taxes in order to achieve the degree of socialism that countries in Europe have found they can’t afford.  And increasing taxes on ‘the rich’ who already provide most of the government’s revenue won’t be sufficient.  Ultimately the middle class would have to pay more.  Additionally, the fact that high taxes haven’t helped in the U.S. in the past is pretty good evidence that they won’t help in the future.”

“Okay, Professor, in case I encounter a progressive at a picnic, please provide some data.”

“ ‘The Congressional Budget Office looked at 2007 through 2009 and found the bottom 20% of American earners paid just 0.3% of the total tax burden, while the richest 20% paid 67.9% of taxes.’ “

“Wow!  And some say the rich aren’t paying their fair share.  And you have more?”

“Apparently some progressives are unacquainted with the ‘Laffer curve.’  Laffer has observed that while revenues increase as tax rates go up, at some high tax rate the curve bends downward and revenues decrease.  The economy also turns down as people decide that because of their high marginal tax rate, the higher income from their extra efforts isn’t worth the trouble.  Here are some numbers: During the tax rate increases of Presidents Johnson, Nixon, Ford and Carter, between 1968 and 1981, the top 1% of income earners reduced their total income tax payments from 1.9% of GDP to 1.5% lf GDP.’ (3)”

“What about the economy during periods of high taxation?”

“President Hoover precipitated the Great Depression with the Smoot-Hawley Tariff in 1930, and raised the personal income tax rate from 24% to 63% in 1932.  President Roosevelt raised it to 79% in 1936, and the Depression roared onward with unemployment at 20% in 1938.  According to Arthur Laffer of Laffer Curve fame: ‘Whoever heard of a country taxing itself into prosperity?’  ‘Higher tax rates on the rich create the very poverty and unemployment that is used to justify their presence.’ (3)”

“It’s pretty evident to me, Curmudge, that the progressives did the wrong thing in the distant past, and that’s what they seem to want to do now.  However, there are some who were undoubtedly progressives a few years ago who said things that are clearly at odds with the policies of our current administrative state.  For example, here’s a quote from John F. Kennedy in January 1963: ‘Tax reduction thus sets off a process that can bring gains for everyone, gains won by marshalling resources that would otherwise stand idle—workers without jobs and farm and factory capacity without markets.  Yet many taxpayers seemed prepared to deny the nation the fruits of tax reduction…’ “

“Equally interesting, Julie, is this quote from Al Gore: (4) ‘Capitalism has become the world’s economic ideology of choice primarily because it demonstrably unlocks a higher fraction of the human potential with ubiquitous organic incentives that reward hard work, ingenuity and innovation.’ “

“Wow!  From Al Gore?  That’s not only surprising; it’s hopeful.”

“Don’t get your hopes up, Julie.  Since exiting from pure politics, he has combined environmentalism with capitalism.  That’s not unusual among environmental zealots.  In any case, we’ll explore some potential paths forward for curmudgeonocracy in future postings.”

Kaizen Curmudgeon

(1)  Hassett, K.A., and Mathur, A.  Consumption and the Myths of Inequality The Wall Street Journal 10/25/12.
(2)  Gilbert, Neil  The Denial of Middle-Class Prosperity  The Wall Street Journal 5/17/14, p. A11.
(3)  Laffer, Arthur  The Soak-the-Rich Catch-22  The Wall Street Journal 8/02/10.
(4)  Gore, Al, and Blood, David  Toward Sustainable Capitalism  The Wall Street Journal 6/24/10.

Link to posting from blog archives: The Robot11/03/10 http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2010/11/robot.html

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 7—More That’s Wrong


Progressivism and Equality

“You know, Julie, it appears that progressives’ knowledge of biology is comparable to their knowledge of economics.  They seem to think that money grows on trees and that all people must be compensated equally irrespective of abilities and accomplishments.”

“I’m convinced that progressives tend to be spendthrifts, Curmudge, but what about their views on biology?”

“Progressives are clearly wrong.  I’m living proof of inequality.  I’m not big enough to play in the NFL or tall enough for the NBA.  Let’s face it; inequality is endemic in the human race.  However, progressives and conservatives are pretty close on equal opportunity.  They both feel that people should be equal in their opportunity to get a basic education and live in an enriching and productive environment.  But in addition, progressives believe that everyone should have an equal outcome in life, as if they were stamped out of a machine as little widgets.  That is, equal despite their inherent differences in initiative, intellect, and a host of other conditions.”

“Gosh, Old Guy, do progressives truly believe that that is possible?”

“Probably not, Julie.  I’m exaggerating, but they seem determined to make the nation do everything feasible to meet their vision.  And they seem willing to impoverish the country in the process.”

“So, Professor, how does that translate into the ‘here’ and ‘now’ in America?”

“Progressivism and politics are symbiotic, because the administrative state is essential in applying progressive concepts.  To a politician, the greatest good that he or she can do for the country is get re-elected.  Thus to make that happen, he/she will support progressive measures—often despite their cost—if they seem popular.  Consider federal government food stamps.  If a politician supports expansion of that program, the recipient will support the politician; he will not bite the hand that literally feeds him.  This has been proven by the riots in Europe that have erupted when governments considered reducing social programs that people feel are their ‘entitlements.’ “

“I get it, Curmudge.  That’s why Social Security is considered the ‘third rail’ of politics.  And from my reading (1), the U.S. deficit will increase by $40 trillion over the next 20 years, mostly due to Social Security, health entitlements, and interest costs.  The progressives don’t seem to show much concern over tackling this problem.  Perhaps we should remind our readers—once again—just how big a number a trillion is.  If one counts backward in time for one trillion seconds, the date would be 30,000 B.C.”

“Forty trillion is indeed a mind-boggling price to pay for 20 years worth of mostly social programs, Julie, but the progressives’ goal of equal outcomes would also be a big hit to our culture and wellbeing.  Suppose the government decided to create universal equality by confiscatory taxation of all high earners and achievers.  The driving force for generating new knowledge and developing new products would disappear.  And with everyone equally poor, there would be no support for symphony orchestras in small cities, college scholarships, or charities.  Life would be harsh and drab—almost like the Middle Ages.”

“If that had been implemented when you were born in 1934, Senior Citizen, we wouldn’t have had jet planes, transistors, computers, and all the benefits of modern medicine.  And without college scholarships, you wouldn’t have met the future Mrs. Curmudgeon.  Here’s a quotation from Winston Churchill about being equally poor. ‘The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings.  The inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries.’ “

“The draconian costs of equality are also portrayed in an amusing but frightening way in a short story by Kurt Vonnegut (2) recalled by Al, one of our editors.  ‘The year was 2081, and everybody was finally equal.’  ‘Nobody was smarter, better looking, stronger, or quicker than anybody else.’  The new constitutional amendments were enforced by The U.S. Handicapper General.  Because there was no way to bring people up to a higher performance level, those with physical talents had to wear bags of lead shot to hold them down.  Those with the ability to think had noisemakers installed in their ears to disturb any creative thoughts.  The story described ballerinas with masks to cover pretty faces and sash weights to make them clumsy.”

“I think I’m going to be sick again, Curmudge.  If that were not fiction, the Handicapper General and staff would be exceptionally dedicated progressives.”

“Any system of government that suppresses or subjugates the people has to have enforcers like the Handicapper General.  If the people are required to be equal in terms of outcome, the enforcers must be a higher political class.  That proves the impossibility of universal equality.  Which brings us to another more familiar lesson from fiction.  It’s George Orwell’s Animal Farm.  All animals are equal.  But some are more equal than others.’  I think that’s what we have in the Administrative State.”

“Just because the progressives view themselves as a higher political class, it doesn’t mean that they are higher achievers.  Consider, for example, the Affordable Care Act as observed by Phil Gramm in The Wall Street Journal (3):  ‘Judged by the deeply flawed roll out and the necessity for endless illegal waivers, merely implementing the law as written seems to be far beyond the capacity of the U.S. government.’ ”

“And in addition, Julie, the bureaucratic minions are led by political hacks with inadequate management experience.”

“Here’s my arm again, Curmudge.  Put your thumb on the anti-nausea acupressure point on my wrist.”      

Kaizen Curmudgeon      


(1)  Portman, Rob  Heading Off the Entitlement Meltdown The Wall Street Journal, 7/22/14, p. A9.
(2)  Vonnegut, Kurt  Harrison Bergeron in The Magazine of Fantasy and Science Fiction (October, 1961).
(3)  Gramm, Phil  A 2014 ealth-Care Stfrategy: FreedomHhHealth-Care Strategy: Freedom The Wall Street Journal 7/25/14, p. A13.

Link to posting from blog archives: Evidence-Based Medicine 510/21/10