Monday, September 29, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 12—Discussion


“It appears, Curmudge, that conservatives and progressives agree on something.  They both want Americans to live well, and in addition, to have a safety net for those who are unable to support themselves.”

“Sounds good so far, Julie, but then they diverge.  Conservatives want ‘living well’ to be based on economic growth such that everyone who is able to work can find a job.  And ‘living well’ means having the freedom to live as he/she wishes and as prosperously as he/she can afford.”

“Based on our readings, progressives see it differently.  They feel that an all-powerful central government can make better decisions than individuals.  This reduces inequalities, but as Churchill said, provides for ‘equal sharing of miseries.’  Nevertheless, in the U.S. in recent years the administrative state has forged ahead with ‘over-regulation, cronyism, institutional sclerosis, and mounting public debt’ (Levin in preceding posting).  Despite this sorry record, the progressives portray themselves as helping the middle class.”

“As I see it, chère etudiante, the more people they can get feeding at the public trough, the more people will be depending on and supporting the progressives.  Here are some data: ‘In 1960, According to the Office of Management and Budget, social welfare programs accounted for less than a third of all federal spending.  Today (2013) entitlement programs account for nearly two-thirds of federal spending.’  ‘Welfare spending is nearly twice as much as defense, justice and everything else Washington does—combined.’  ‘The Department of Health and Human Services reports that more than 12.4 million working-age Americans obtained income disability support from government programs in 2011.  That’s more than the total number of employees in the manufacturing sector of the economy.’ (1)  Yet after spending several years in a corporate Environment, Safety & Health Department, I know personally that the American workplace is becoming increasingly safety-conscious.”

“Another way that the progressives hope to gain support is to raise the minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10.  But the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the change would eliminate 500,000 jobs.  Gosh, Curmudge, it seems that progressives care more about catchy themes that attract votes than they care about people.  More facts from research: 25% of hourly employees in poverty already earn $12 per hour or more.  Only 18% of the benefits from the proposed increase would go to minimum-wage earners living in poor families. (2)  And for young people hoping to climb the ladder of success, a higher minimum wage makes the first rung harder to reach.”

“To neutralize the voter appeal of a higher minimum wage, Wilcox in Room to Grow and Saltsman in The Wall Street Journal (2) have proposed modifying the earned income tax credit (EITC).  The EITC is a refundable tax credit for low-income households.  The modified plan would increase the credit received by childless adults.  Other approaches to fighting poverty are the block grants described by Winship in RtG, termed federal opportunity grants by Paul Ryan. (3)”         

“I think I know where you are heading, Old Guy.  Although middle class Americans are aware of the miseries of socialism, they—like many Europeans—have been seduced by big government’s handouts.  They will be reluctant to break the ‘big government’ habit ‘cold turkey.’  That’s why several of the YG Network’s proposals in Room to Grow are less rigorous than desired by other conservatives.  YG Network people want to gently wean middle class people away from big government.  To be even-handed, let’s consider what dyed-in-the-wool conservatives favor.”

“As you wish, Julie.  The title of Daniel J. Mitchell’s paper is the same as his conclusion, Tax Credits Won’t Lift Economic Growth. (4)   He said there is no evidence of a positive economic outcome.  ‘And since tax credits have little or no effect on incentives to work, save and invest, conservatives won’t be able to make an argument about the less fortunate benefitting from faster growth.’  ‘The more effective policy is to boost economic growth so that families have more income in the first place.’  Mitchell’s conclusion is to ‘focus on reforms that boost savings and investment, such as lowering the corporate tax rate, reducing the double taxation of dividends and capital gains, and allowing immediate expensing of business investment.’ “

“Somehow, Professor, I doubt that Mitchell’s last sentence will strike a chord with a mother on welfare.”

“Let’s end this posting with a few suggestions from George P. Shultz on How to Get America Moving Again (5): Cleanse the personal income tax of deductions.  Lower the corporate tax rate to be competitive with the rest of the world.  Overhaul the complexity of the regulatory octopus.  Have a robust military capability.  Get control of spending, especially entitlement spending.  Index the normal retirement age to longevity.  Shultz had several suggestions on health care; we’ll revisit them when we next write about that subject.  But here they are briefly: Have high-deductible catastrophic insurance available across state lines.  Encourage health-savings accounts to be used in paying for routine medical services.  Have price transparency for medical services.”

“I read, Curmudge, where someone said in a subsequent letter to the editor, ‘Shultz’s ideas are great, but we need the right leader to make them happen.’ “

“Agreed!  A dynamic communicator.  As Margaret Thatcher said, ‘First you win the argument; then you win the vote.’ ”

Kaizen Curmudgeon
    
(1)  Eberstadt, Nicholas  Yes, Mr. President, We Are a Nation of
Takers The Wall Street Journal, 1/25/13.
(2)  Saltsman, Michael            A Better Poverty Fighter Than Raising the Minimum Wage The Wall Street Journal, 8/12/14, p. A13.
(3)  Ryan, Paul  A Better Way Up From Poverty The Wall Street Journal, 8/16/14, p. A11.
(4)  Mitchell, Daniel J. Tax Credits Won’t Lift Economic Growth The Wall Street Journal, 8/21/14, p. A13.
(5)  Shultz, George P. How to Get America Moving Again The Wall Street Journal, 8/09/14, p. A11.   

Link to posting from blog archives: Way to go!—The value of an advance directive.2/17/11 http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2011/02/way-to-go.html

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