Friday, August 29, 2014

Curmudgeonocracy 8—Inequality and Redistribution


“I don’t read much progressive literature, Curmudge, but I suspect that progressives believe that inequality is the problem and redistribution is the solution.”

“It makes a good political cant, Julie.  The progressives want the middle class to feel as if they deserve a bigger share of the good life and the share should come from somebody else.  It’s called resentment or coveting, as in the Ten Commandments where one is admonished about coveting his neighbor’s wife or his neighbor’s anything else.  Of course, if the progressive is also a post-modernist, he’s not bothered by the Ten Commandments.”

“Fortunately my couch-potato husband is too lazy to look at the gal next door or to read what a post-modernist can ignore.  So how do the progressives convince middle-class Americans that they have been ripped off?”

“They use misleading data, Julie.  They ask, ‘are you worse off now than in (some earlier date)?’ and then answer their own question, ‘of course you are.’  But often they aren’t.”

“So what’s the straight scoop, Professor?”

“The progressives focus on pretax income inequality and ignore transfer payments such as unemployment insurance, food stamps, Medicaid, and other safety-net programs.  According to Hassett and Mathur in The Wall Street Journal (1), ‘Consumption is a more relevant metric of overall welfare than pre-tax cash income.’  Data in a 2011 Congressional Budget Office report ‘reveal that average disposable household income increased across all groups since 1979.  The average household income grew by 40% for the middle quintile and by 49% for the bottom quintile.’ (2)  And regarding ‘the good life,’ the Department of Energy reported these increases between 2001 and 2009 for low-income Americans—those earning less than $20,000 in 2009 dollars: ownership of a computer, from 19.8% to 47.7%; air-conditioning, 65.8% to 83.5%; a dishwasher, 17.6% to 30.8%; and a washing machine, 57.2% to 62.4%. (1)”

“Gosh, Curmudge, neither of us had a computer in 2001.  But we are certainly better off than many people in Europe.  ‘The average U.S. family has 38% more disposable income than a family in Italy, 25%more than a family in France, and 20% more than a household in Germany, when adjusted for purchasing power.’ (2)  So what do the progressives say about that?”

“They persist in wanting to raise taxes in order to achieve the degree of socialism that countries in Europe have found they can’t afford.  And increasing taxes on ‘the rich’ who already provide most of the government’s revenue won’t be sufficient.  Ultimately the middle class would have to pay more.  Additionally, the fact that high taxes haven’t helped in the U.S. in the past is pretty good evidence that they won’t help in the future.”

“Okay, Professor, in case I encounter a progressive at a picnic, please provide some data.”

“ ‘The Congressional Budget Office looked at 2007 through 2009 and found the bottom 20% of American earners paid just 0.3% of the total tax burden, while the richest 20% paid 67.9% of taxes.’ “

“Wow!  And some say the rich aren’t paying their fair share.  And you have more?”

“Apparently some progressives are unacquainted with the ‘Laffer curve.’  Laffer has observed that while revenues increase as tax rates go up, at some high tax rate the curve bends downward and revenues decrease.  The economy also turns down as people decide that because of their high marginal tax rate, the higher income from their extra efforts isn’t worth the trouble.  Here are some numbers: During the tax rate increases of Presidents Johnson, Nixon, Ford and Carter, between 1968 and 1981, the top 1% of income earners reduced their total income tax payments from 1.9% of GDP to 1.5% lf GDP.’ (3)”

“What about the economy during periods of high taxation?”

“President Hoover precipitated the Great Depression with the Smoot-Hawley Tariff in 1930, and raised the personal income tax rate from 24% to 63% in 1932.  President Roosevelt raised it to 79% in 1936, and the Depression roared onward with unemployment at 20% in 1938.  According to Arthur Laffer of Laffer Curve fame: ‘Whoever heard of a country taxing itself into prosperity?’  ‘Higher tax rates on the rich create the very poverty and unemployment that is used to justify their presence.’ (3)”

“It’s pretty evident to me, Curmudge, that the progressives did the wrong thing in the distant past, and that’s what they seem to want to do now.  However, there are some who were undoubtedly progressives a few years ago who said things that are clearly at odds with the policies of our current administrative state.  For example, here’s a quote from John F. Kennedy in January 1963: ‘Tax reduction thus sets off a process that can bring gains for everyone, gains won by marshalling resources that would otherwise stand idle—workers without jobs and farm and factory capacity without markets.  Yet many taxpayers seemed prepared to deny the nation the fruits of tax reduction…’ “

“Equally interesting, Julie, is this quote from Al Gore: (4) ‘Capitalism has become the world’s economic ideology of choice primarily because it demonstrably unlocks a higher fraction of the human potential with ubiquitous organic incentives that reward hard work, ingenuity and innovation.’ “

“Wow!  From Al Gore?  That’s not only surprising; it’s hopeful.”

“Don’t get your hopes up, Julie.  Since exiting from pure politics, he has combined environmentalism with capitalism.  That’s not unusual among environmental zealots.  In any case, we’ll explore some potential paths forward for curmudgeonocracy in future postings.”

Kaizen Curmudgeon

(1)  Hassett, K.A., and Mathur, A.  Consumption and the Myths of Inequality The Wall Street Journal 10/25/12.
(2)  Gilbert, Neil  The Denial of Middle-Class Prosperity  The Wall Street Journal 5/17/14, p. A11.
(3)  Laffer, Arthur  The Soak-the-Rich Catch-22  The Wall Street Journal 8/02/10.
(4)  Gore, Al, and Blood, David  Toward Sustainable Capitalism  The Wall Street Journal 6/24/10.

Link to posting from blog archives: The Robot11/03/10 http://kaizencurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2010/11/robot.html

No comments: